About This Site
Casino Odds Insider was built on one premise — the numbers that govern casino games are knowable, exact and should be publicly available to anyone who wants them.
Who We Are
Casino Odds Insider is an independent casino mathematics resource. Every house edge figure published here is calculated from exact combinatorial analysis — not borrowed from other websites, not derived from simulation, and not rounded to the nearest convenient number.
The casino gaming industry publishes very little mathematical information for players. House edge figures when they appear at all are often imprecise, poorly sourced or calculated under rule assumptions that do not match the games players actually encounter. This site was built to change that — one game at a time, with exact figures and clear explanations of where every number comes from.
The author is an independent casino game inventor currently in casino placement discussions for a new patented table card game called Beat the Dealer. The mathematical analysis work done for that game — exact combinatorial enumeration of all possible outcomes from a six-deck shoe — is the same methodology applied throughout this site. When this site publishes a house edge of 2.2728% on a specific bet, that figure comes from counting every possible card combination, not from an estimate.
Creator of Beat the Dealer — a new patented casino table card game with a dual mandatory independent bet structure. Provisional patent filed with the USPTO. Currently in placement discussions with casino operators.
All house edge figures calculated by enumerating every possible outcome from verified deck configurations. A 6-deck shoe has 48,516 two-card combinations — we count all of them, every time.
This site recommends the bets with the best odds — not the games that pay referral commissions. The baccarat banker bet at 1.06% gets the same honest treatment as keno at 35%.
Casino Odds Insider does not accept advertising from casinos or gaming operators. Editorial independence is the foundation of honest odds analysis.
Our Approach
The formula behind every house edge figure on this site is expected value — the sum of all possible outcomes weighted by their probability. For card games this means enumerating every possible combination of cards from a specified shoe configuration and counting wins, losses and pushes explicitly.
For a two-card player hand from a six-deck shoe there are C(312,2) = 48,516 possible combinations. For a four-card deal — player and dealer — there are C(312,4) = 387,278,970 combinations. For the Dealer Bet in Beat the Dealer we evaluated all 9,294,695,280 ordered four-card deals to produce the exact house edge figures published on this site.
When exact enumeration is not feasible — as in some complex multi-decision games — we note the methodology used and the source. We do not present simulation figures as exact and we do not borrow figures from other sites without independent verification.
Questions about the mathematics, corrections to any figure on the site, or inquiries about Beat the Dealer casino placement are all welcome.
contact@casinooddsinsider.comThe casino industry publishes very little honest mathematical information for players. When house edge figures appear, they are often imprecise, poorly sourced, or calculated under rule assumptions that don't match the games players actually encounter on casino floors. Marketing language obscures what the numbers mean. Side bet percentages are rarely disclosed. Players make decisions worth hundreds of dollars based on incomplete or misleading information.
Casino Odds Insider was built to change that. Every figure published here comes from original mathematical analysis — exact combinatorial enumeration of all possible outcomes from verified deck configurations and rule sets. When this site publishes a house edge of 2.2728% on a specific beat, that number comes from counting every card combination across a six-deck shoe, not from rounding someone else's estimate or citing an unverified source.
Every house edge figure on this site is calculated using combinatorial analysis — the complete enumeration of every possible outcome weighted by its probability. This is the gold standard for casino mathematics because it produces exact answers rather than approximations.
For card games played from a multi-deck shoe, this means enumerating every possible combination of cards that can be dealt across both player and dealer positions, calculating the outcome (win, lose, push) for each combination under the specified rules, and weighting each outcome by its probability of occurring. The result is the exact expected value of the bet — which, expressed as a percentage of the wager, gives the house edge.
This methodology was developed and refined in the process of analyzing Beat the Dealer — a new casino table card game invented by this site's author and currently in patent pending status with the USPTO. Designing a new game requires complete mathematical understanding of every bet on the felt. The same rigorous approach is applied throughout this site.
Rule sensitivity matters significantly in casino mathematics. The house edge on blackjack changes meaningfully depending on whether the dealer hits or stands on soft 17, whether doubling after split is permitted, whether late surrender is available, and what the blackjack payout ratio is. Figures on this site specify the rule conditions under which they were calculated, so readers know exactly what assumptions they're based on.
Casino Odds Insider is written and maintained by an independent casino game inventor and odds analyst with direct experience designing and certifying table games for casino placement consideration. The author created Beat the Dealer — a new patented casino table card game featuring a mathematically novel dual independent mandatory bet structure, including a Dealer Bet that carries zero house edge under Configuration A.
The work of designing a casino game requires a level of mathematical rigor that goes beyond most published analysis. Every bet on the layout must be analyzed completely — not estimated, not approximated from a similar game. This requirement produced the analytical framework that underlies every guide on this site.
The site has no affiliation with any casino operator, game manufacturer, or gambling services company. It accepts no payment to recommend games or casinos. The analysis is independent and the conclusions are its own — which means the best games are recommended because they have the best odds, not because they pay the highest affiliate commission.
Every major casino table game is covered with exact house edge figures, full strategy analysis where applicable, and explanation of which rule variations matter and why. The coverage spans blackjack, craps, baccarat, roulette, video poker, pai gow poker, three card poker, ultimate Texas hold'em, casino hold'em, Mississippi stud, let it ride, and the newly invented Beat the Dealer.
Beyond individual game guides, the site covers cross-game strategy — how to choose between games, how to read a table before sitting down, how casino comps work and what they're actually worth, how slot machine RTP and volatility interact, and how betting systems fail mathematically. The casino glossary covers over 100 terms with precise definitions and links to the relevant game guides.
Interactive tools allow readers to calculate house edge for any casino bet, generate a blackjack basic strategy chart for their specific table rules, and explore the Beat the Dealer felt layout interactively. Free casino games — blackjack, video poker, and roulette — let readers practice strategy without any financial risk.
Many casino information sites are funded by affiliate arrangements with online casinos. They recommend games and operators that pay the highest referral commissions — not games that have the best odds for players. The conflict of interest between honest analysis and affiliate revenue is substantial and rarely disclosed.
Casino Odds Insider operates without any such arrangements. The funding model is display advertising — the same ads regardless of what's recommended. Craps with free odds is recommended as the best bet in the casino because it has the lowest house edge available — 0.37% at 3-4-5x odds tables. Not because any craps table operator pays a referral fee. Keno is called what it is — the worst bet in most casinos — without hedging, because nothing about the funding model requires softening that analysis.
This independence is why the odds figures here can be trusted. When an analysis recommends a specific bet, it's because the math supports the recommendation — not because someone is paying for the recommendation to appear.